kengr

Even with mass sterilizations or pogroms, it's going to happen; it'd just take longer. Avoiding this would require changing white-people culture to encourage having more children. It's not like they're arranging for poor people - who are more likely to be people of color - to have access to education, contraceptives, and abortions. They don't want the poor to have small family sizes; families that can make ends meet have a better chance of climbing out of poverty.

I don't think we'll get a second civil war because we don't have a neat line between "asshole white supremacist regions" and "regions that begrudgingly agree that humans should have equal rights, even if they're not willing to enforce that in practice." Or rather, I don't think we'll get anything as orderly and clear as the first civil war, and I think a lot of the battles would be fought in cyberspace.

If Texas declares itself "not part of the US anymore" and decides to enforce that with guns, that won't prevent AT&T from shutting down phone services to Texas. (I have no idea what the tech companies would do in case of violent insurrection against the government. But they might decide that the "new Republic of Texas" needs to negotiate with them about service rates, especially if the US courts demand they stop providing support to "internal terrorists.") During the first civil war, there was no phone service to interfere with.

Whether or not the tech companies would support states that try to split, if those states decide to forego US dollars and create their own currency, they'll need to renegotiate all the contracts. And hey! I bet Google, Apple, Microsoft, and AT&T would love a market that's entirely free of US business regulations! ...but while that's being worked on, the average user isn't getting their cute cat pictures, and those states will rapidly lose popular support.

And yeah. The only way through this, is overwhelming acknowledgements that (1) people of color have been treated abominably for centuries, and (2) that has to stop, and that means white people don't get the full array of advantages they've been thinking of as "everyone's rights."